The model estimates 1.24 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.13 for Port Vale. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Shrewsbury and 6 for Port Vale, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Shrewsbury · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Shrewsbury is going head to head with Port Vale on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 19.
Shrewsbury take on Port Vale in the League Two on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Shrewsbury are currently placed 19th in the table with 15 points, while Port Vale occupy 18th position with 15 points.
Shrewsbury come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Port Vale have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Port Vale have 9 wins against Shrewsbury, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Shrewsbury to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 50%.




Shrewsbury have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Shrewsbury's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Shrewsbury's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Port Vale have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Port Vale's last 6 matches.