The model estimates 1.89 goals for Sheffield Wed and 1.62 for Luton Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sheffield Wed and 6 for Luton Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sheffield Wed · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sheffield Wed is going head to head with Luton Town on December 19, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of League One — Round 20.
Sheffield Wed take on Luton Town in the League One on 19 December 2026 at 12:30.
Sheffield Wed are currently placed 9th in the table with 19 points, while Luton Town occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Sheffield Wed come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luton Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sheffield Wed to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 69%.




In their last 6 matches, Sheffield Wed have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sheffield Wed have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sheffield Wed's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Luton Town have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.