The model estimates 0.98 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.99 for Luton Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AFC Wimbledon and 6 for Luton Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Luton Town · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AFC Wimbledon is going head to head with Luton Town on December 29, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of League One — Round 22.
AFC Wimbledon take on Luton Town in the League One on 29 December 2026 at 19:45.
AFC Wimbledon are currently placed 17th in the table with 13 points, while Luton Town occupy 8th position with 20 points.
AFC Wimbledon come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luton Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Luton Town have 6 wins against AFC Wimbledon, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Luton Town to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 55%.
AFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFCLUTAFC Wimbledon have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
AFC Wimbledon have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Luton Town have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Luton Town's last 6 matches.
