The model estimates 2.09 goals for Sheffield Utd and 0.78 for Watford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sheffield Utd and 6 for Watford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sheffield Utd · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sheffield Utd is going head to head with Watford on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 16.
Sheffield Utd take on Watford in the Championship on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Sheffield Utd are currently placed 12th in the table with 16 points, while Watford occupy 21st position with 11 points.
Sheffield Utd come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Sheffield Utd have 17 wins against Watford, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Sheffield Utd to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 49%.




Sheffield Utd have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Sheffield Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Watford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Watford have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Watford concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.