The model estimates 1.01 goals for Sestao and 0.75 for Portugalete. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sestao and 6 for Portugalete, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sestao · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sestao is going head to head with Portugalete on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Segunda B1 — Round 16.
Sestao take on Portugalete in the Spain Segunda B1 on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Sestao are currently placed 1st in the table with 19 points, while Portugalete occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Sestao come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Portugalete have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sestao to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.76. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 35%.




In their last 6 matches, Sestao have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Sestao's last 6 matches.
Sestao have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portugalete have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Portugalete have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Portugalete's last 6 matches.