The model estimates 2.74 goals for CSKA-Sofia and 0.56 for Spartak Varna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CSKA-Sofia and 6 for Spartak Varna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CSKA-Sofia · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CSKA-Sofia is going head to head with Spartak Varna on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 21.
CSKA-Sofia take on Spartak Varna in the Parva Liga on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
CSKA-Sofia are currently placed 2nd in the table with 27 points, while Spartak Varna occupy 7th position with 13 points.
CSKA-Sofia come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spartak Varna have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, CSKA-Sofia have 28 wins against Spartak Varna, with 7 draws.
Prediction: CSKA-Sofia to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.30. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 41%.




CSKA-Sofia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA-Sofia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of CSKA-Sofia's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Spartak Varna's last 6 matches.
Spartak Varna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Varna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.