The model estimates 1.14 goals for Selaya and 0.85 for Velarde. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Selaya and 6 for Velarde, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Selaya · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Selaya is going head to head with Velarde on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 11.
Selaya take on Velarde in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Selaya are currently placed 12th in the table with 7 points, while Velarde occupy 17th position with 5 points.
Selaya come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Velarde have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Selaya have 1 win against Velarde, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Selaya to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.99. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 41%.
Selaya have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Selaya have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Selaya have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Velarde have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost by 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 matches.