European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.16 goals for Velarde and 1.16 for Castro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Velarde and 6 for Castro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Velarde · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Velarde is going head to head with Castro on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 14.
Velarde take on Castro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Velarde are currently placed 17th in the table with 5 points, while Castro occupy 10th position with 8 points.
Velarde come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Velarde have 2 wins against Castro, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Velarde to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.
Velarde have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost by 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.
