The model estimates 1.25 goals for Scunthorpe and 1.91 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Scunthorpe and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carlisle · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Scunthorpe is going head to head with Carlisle on March 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 38.
Scunthorpe take on Carlisle in the England National League on 9 March 2027 at 00:00.
Scunthorpe are currently placed 22nd in the table with 10 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Scunthorpe come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Scunthorpe have 15 wins against Carlisle, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Carlisle to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.16. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 62%.




Scunthorpe have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Scunthorpe's last 6 matches.
Scunthorpe have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.