The model estimates 0.75 goals for Schalke and 1.02 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Schalke and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Schalke is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on December 05, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 12.
Schalke take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2026 at 14:30.
Schalke are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 2nd position with 15 points.
Schalke come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Schalke and Borussia Dortmund to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.77. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 36%.




Schalke have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Schalke have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Schalke's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.