The model estimates 1.08 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.06 for Schalke. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Schalke, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hamburger SV · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Schalke on December 12, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 13.
Hamburger SV take on Schalke in the Bundesliga on 12 December 2026 at 14:30.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Schalke occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Schalke have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Hamburger SV and Schalke to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 45%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Schalke have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Schalke have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Schalke's last 6 matches.