The model estimates 2.32 goals for Fazendense and 2.73 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fazendense and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SB Castelo Branco · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fazendense is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 25.
Fazendense take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Fazendense are currently placed 53rd in the table with 1 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 18th position with 9 points.
Fazendense come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: SB Castelo Branco to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-3. Avg goals: 5.05. Over 2.5: 88%. BTTS: 85%.




Fazendense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Fazendense's last 6 matches.
Fazendense have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.