The model estimates 1.24 goals for Gremio and 1.18 for Mirassol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gremio and 6 for Mirassol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gremio · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gremio is going head to head with Mirassol on December 02, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 38.
Gremio take on Mirassol in the Serie A Betano on 2 December 2026 at 21:00.
Gremio are currently placed 16th in the table with 13 points, while Mirassol occupy 9th position with 21 points.
Gremio come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mirassol have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Mirassol have 4 wins against Gremio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Gremio to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Gremio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gremio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gremio's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mirassol have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Mirassol's last 6 matches.
Mirassol have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.