The model estimates 0.94 goals for Santa Clara and 0.84 for Arouca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santa Clara and 6 for Arouca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santa Clara · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santa Clara is going head to head with Arouca on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 23.
Santa Clara take on Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Santa Clara are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Arouca occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Santa Clara come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arouca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Santa Clara have 1 win against Arouca.
Prediction: Santa Clara and Arouca to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.78. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 36%.




In their last 6 matches, Santa Clara have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Santa Clara have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Santa Clara score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.