The model estimates 1.03 goals for Santa Amalia and 1.59 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santa Amalia and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santa Amalia is going head to head with Castuera on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 17.
Santa Amalia take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Santa Amalia are currently placed 11th in the table with 8 points, while Castuera occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Santa Amalia come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Santa Amalia have 3 wins against Castuera, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Santa Amalia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Santa Amalia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Santa Amalia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.