The model estimates 0.82 goals for Sampdoria and 1.30 for Padova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sampdoria and 6 for Padova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Padova · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sampdoria is going head to head with Padova on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 27.
Sampdoria take on Padova in the Serie B on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Sampdoria are currently placed 19th in the table with 5 points, while Padova occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Sampdoria come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Padova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Sampdoria have 14 wins against Padova, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 42%.




Sampdoria have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Sampdoria have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sampdoria's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.