The model estimates 1.61 goals for Salgueiros and 0.93 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Salgueiros and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Salgueiros · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Salgueiros is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on November 08, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 8.
Salgueiros take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 8 November 2026 at 18:00.
Salgueiros are currently placed 36th in the table with 6 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 45th position with 5 points.
Salgueiros come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Salgueiros to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 50%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Salgueiros's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salgueiros have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Salgueiros have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.