The model estimates 2.14 goals for Roda and 0.91 for Dordrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Roda and 6 for Dordrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Roda · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Roda is going head to head with Dordrecht on January 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 23.
Roda take on Dordrecht in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 22 January 2027 at 00:00.
Roda are currently placed 5th in the table with 22 points, while Dordrecht occupy 18th position with 11 points.
Roda come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dordrecht have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Roda have 1 win against Dordrecht.
Prediction: Roda to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Roda have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Roda's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Roda's last 6 home matches.
Dordrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dordrecht's last 6 matches.
Dordrecht have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.