The model estimates 1.47 goals for Rijeka and 0.63 for Gorica. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rijeka and 6 for Gorica, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rijeka · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rijeka is going head to head with Gorica on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 14.
Rijeka take on Gorica in the HNL on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Rijeka are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Gorica occupy 10th position with 7 points.
Rijeka come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gorica have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Rijeka have 18 wins against Gorica, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Rijeka to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 37%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rijeka's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rijeka's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rijeka have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gorica have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gorica have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gorica's last 6 matches.