The model estimates 1.57 goals for Ried and 1.68 for Sturm Graz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ried and 6 for Sturm Graz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ried · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ried is going head to head with Sturm Graz on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 21.
Ried take on Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Ried are currently placed 5th in the table with 15 points, while Sturm Graz occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Ried come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sturm Graz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ried have yet to beat Sturm Graz, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ried to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.24. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 66%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Ried's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ried have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ried's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.