The model estimates 2.26 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for Hartberg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sturm Graz and 6 for Hartberg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sturm Graz is going head to head with Hartberg on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 22.
Sturm Graz take on Hartberg in the Austrian Bundesliga on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Sturm Graz are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Hartberg occupy 6th position with 14 points.
Sturm Graz come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hartberg have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Sturm Graz have 15 wins against Hartberg, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hartberg have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Hartberg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Hartberg's last 6 matches.