The model estimates 1.07 goals for Quintana and 1.25 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 4 completed matches for Quintana and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Quintana is going head to head with Castuera on October 04, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 5.
Quintana take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 4 October 2026 at 16:00.
Quintana are currently placed 14th in the table with 4 points, while Castuera occupy 4th position with 9 points.
Quintana come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 4 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Quintana to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.
CASCASCASCASCASCASCASCASCASQuintana have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
