The model estimates 1.74 goals for Puszcza and 1.25 for Stal Mielec. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Puszcza and 6 for Stal Mielec, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Puszcza · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Puszcza is going head to head with Stal Mielec on November 28, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Poland League One — Round 16.
Puszcza take on Stal Mielec in the Poland League One on 28 November 2026 at 19:00.
Puszcza are currently placed 18th in the table with 9 points, while Stal Mielec occupy 15th position with 13 points.
Puszcza come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stal Mielec have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Stal Mielec have 6 wins against Puszcza, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Puszcza to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 60%.




Puszcza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Puszcza have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Puszcza concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Stal Mielec have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stal Mielec's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Stal Mielec's last 6 matches.