The model estimates 1.59 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.74 for Arka Gdynia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Stal Mielec and 6 for Arka Gdynia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Stal Mielec · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Stal Mielec is going head to head with Arka Gdynia on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Poland League One — Round 17.
Stal Mielec take on Arka Gdynia in the Poland League One on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Stal Mielec are currently placed 15th in the table with 13 points, while Arka Gdynia occupy 13th position with 14 points.
Stal Mielec come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arka Gdynia have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arka Gdynia to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 67%.




Stal Mielec have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stal Mielec's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Stal Mielec's last 6 matches.
Arka Gdynia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arka Gdynia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Arka Gdynia's last 6 matches.