The model estimates 2.19 goals for PSG and 1.12 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSG and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSG is going head to head with Lens on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 22.
PSG take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
PSG are currently placed 1st in the table with 17 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
PSG come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, PSG have 45 wins against Lens, with 20 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.