The model estimates 0.96 goals for Port Vale and 0.83 for Newport County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Port Vale and 6 for Newport County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Port Vale · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Port Vale is going head to head with Newport County on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 17.
Port Vale take on Newport County in the League Two on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Port Vale are currently placed 23rd in the table with 12 points, while Newport County occupy 15th position with 15 points.
Port Vale come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newport County have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Newport County have 5 wins against Port Vale, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Port Vale and Newport County to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.79. Over 2.5: 27%. BTTS: 36%.
PORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWPORNEWIn their last 6 matches, Port Vale have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Port Vale's last 6 matches.
Port Vale have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.
