The model estimates 1.45 goals for Ponte da Barca and 1.31 for Maia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ponte da Barca and 6 for Maia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Maia · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ponte da Barca is going head to head with Maia on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Ponte da Barca take on Maia in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ponte da Barca are currently placed 47th in the table with 4 points, while Maia occupy 54th position with 0 points.
Ponte da Barca come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ponte da Barca to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 58%.




Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ponte da Barca's last 6 home matches.
Maia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Maia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Maia's last 6 matches.