The model estimates 2.02 goals for AD Limianos and 1.38 for Ponte da Barca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Limianos and 6 for Ponte da Barca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Limianos · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Limianos is going head to head with Ponte da Barca on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
AD Limianos take on Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
AD Limianos are currently placed 3rd in the table with 14 points, while Ponte da Barca occupy 47th position with 4 points.
AD Limianos come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponte da Barca have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, AD Limianos have 1 win against Ponte da Barca, with 1 draw.
Prediction: AD Limianos to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.41. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 66%.




AD Limianos are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Limianos have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of AD Limianos's last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.