The model estimates 0.95 goals for Polisi Tanzania and 1.82 for Simba. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Polisi Tanzania and 6 for Simba, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Simba · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Polisi Tanzania is going head to head with Simba on December 31, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 16.
Polisi Tanzania take on Simba in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 31 December 2026 at 16:00.
Polisi Tanzania are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Simba occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Polisi Tanzania come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Simba have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Simba to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 53%.




Polisi Tanzania have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Polisi Tanzania's last 6 matches.
Polisi Tanzania concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Simba are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Simba have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Simba have won 6 of their last 6 matches.