The model estimates 2.76 goals for Simba and 0.44 for Fountain Gate. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Simba and 6 for Fountain Gate, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Simba · 75%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Simba is going head to head with Fountain Gate on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 18.
Simba take on Fountain Gate in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Simba are currently placed 1st in the table with 24 points, while Fountain Gate occupy 15th position with 6 points.
Simba come into this match with 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fountain Gate have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Simba to win with probability 75%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.20. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 34%.




Simba are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Simba have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Simba have won 6 of their last 6 matches.
Fountain Gate have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.