The model estimates 1.62 goals for Phrae and 1.80 for Nong Bua Pitchaya. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Phrae and 6 for Nong Bua Pitchaya, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Phrae · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Phrae is going head to head with Nong Bua Pitchaya on November 22, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Thai League 2 — Round 11.
Phrae take on Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2 on 22 November 2026 at 15:00.
Phrae are currently placed 10th in the table with 14 points, while Nong Bua Pitchaya occupy 3rd position with 18 points.
Phrae come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nong Bua Pitchaya have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 5 wins against Phrae.
Prediction: Phrae to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Phrae have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Phrae have won only 1 of their last 6 home matches.
Phrae have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nong Bua Pitchaya have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Nong Bua Pitchaya's last 6 matches.
Nong Bua Pitchaya have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.