The model estimates 2.23 goals for Perugia and 1.17 for Vis Pesaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Perugia and 6 for Vis Pesaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Perugia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Perugia is going head to head with Vis Pesaro on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 21.
Perugia take on Vis Pesaro in the Italy Serie C on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Perugia are currently placed 39th in the table with 13 points, while Vis Pesaro occupy 60th position with 4 points.
Perugia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vis Pesaro have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Perugia have yet to beat Vis Pesaro, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Perugia to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 63%.




Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Perugia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Vis Pesaro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vis Pesaro have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Vis Pesaro's last 6 matches.