The model estimates 1.23 goals for Perugia and 1.16 for Latina Calcio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Perugia and 6 for Latina Calcio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Perugia · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Perugia is going head to head with Latina Calcio on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 17.
Perugia take on Latina Calcio in the Italy Serie C on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Perugia are currently placed 39th in the table with 13 points, while Latina Calcio occupy 33rd position with 14 points.
Perugia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Latina Calcio have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Perugia and Latina Calcio to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.39. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.




Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Perugia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Latina Calcio's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Latina Calcio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Latina Calcio have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.