The model estimates 1.30 goals for Ostiamare and 1.29 for Perugia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ostiamare and 6 for Perugia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ostiamare · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ostiamare is going head to head with Perugia on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 20.
Ostiamare take on Perugia in the Italy Serie C on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ostiamare are currently placed 53rd in the table with 9 points, while Perugia occupy 39th position with 13 points.
Ostiamare come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Perugia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Perugia have 1 win against Ostiamare.
Prediction: Ostiamare and Perugia to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




Ostiamare have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Ostiamare's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ostiamare have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Perugia's last 6 away matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.