The model estimates 1.50 goals for Perugia and 1.19 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Perugia and 6 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Perugia · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Perugia is going head to head with Guidonia Montecelio 1937 on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 31.
Perugia take on Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in the Italy Serie C on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Perugia are currently placed 39th in the table with 13 points, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 occupy 23rd position with 16 points.
Perugia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Perugia to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.




Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Perugia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 6 matches.