The model estimates 1.08 goals for Perugia and 0.82 for Pianese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Perugia and 6 for Pianese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Perugia · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Perugia is going head to head with Pianese on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 32.
Perugia take on Pianese in the Italy Serie C on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Perugia are currently placed 39th in the table with 13 points, while Pianese occupy 54th position with 9 points.
Perugia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pianese have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Perugia to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.90. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 39%.




Perugia score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Perugia have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
Perugia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pianese have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Pianese have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Pianese's last 6 matches.