The model estimates 1.83 goals for Lusitânia FC and 0.85 for Amarante. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lusitânia FC and 6 for Amarante, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lusitânia FC · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lusitânia FC is going head to head with Amarante on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 19.
Lusitânia FC take on Amarante in the Liga Portugal 2 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lusitânia FC are currently placed 1st in the table with 18 points, while Amarante occupy 17th position with 5 points.
Lusitânia FC come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Amarante have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Lusitânia FC have 7 wins against Amarante, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Lusitânia FC to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.68. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 49%.




Lusitânia FC are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lusitânia FC have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lusitânia FC's last 6 matches.
Amarante have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Amarante have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
Amarante concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.