The model estimates 0.94 goals for Pasaia and 1.68 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pasaia and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pasaia is going head to head with Derio on November 01, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 9.
Pasaia take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 1 November 2026 at 20:00.
Pasaia are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Pasaia come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Derio have 4 wins against Pasaia, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 51%.
DERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERDERThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Pasaia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
