The model estimates 1.24 goals for Parma and 1.81 for Atalanta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Parma and 6 for Atalanta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Parma is going head to head with Atalanta on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 33.
Parma take on Atalanta in the Serie A on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Parma are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while Atalanta occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Parma come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 48 recorded meetings, Parma have 17 wins against Atalanta, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 61%.




Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.