The model estimates 1.04 goals for Padova and 1.43 for Modena. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Modena, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Modena · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Modena on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 26.
Padova take on Modena in the Serie B on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Modena occupy 3rd position with 17 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Modena have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Modena to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.
PADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODPADMODThere have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Modena have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Modena's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Modena's last 6 matches.
