The model estimates 1.41 goals for Padova and 0.90 for Cesena. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Padova and 6 for Cesena, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Padova · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Padova is going head to head with Cesena on December 19, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 18.
Padova take on Cesena in the Serie B on 19 December 2026 at 17:00.
Padova are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Cesena occupy 16th position with 9 points.
Padova come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cesena have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Padova have 10 wins against Cesena, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Padova to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.31. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 46%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Padova's last 6 matches.
Padova have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Padova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cesena have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cesena have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cesena's last 6 matches.