The model estimates 1.26 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.45 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Werder Bremen and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Werder Bremen · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Werder Bremen is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 22.
Werder Bremen take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Werder Bremen are currently placed 5th in the table with 15 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Werder Bremen come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 119 recorded meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 52 wins against Werder Bremen, with 23 draws.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.




Werder Bremen are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Werder Bremen have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Werder Bremen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.