The model estimates 1.59 goals for Ospitaletto and 0.96 for Desenzano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ospitaletto and 6 for Desenzano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ospitaletto · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ospitaletto is going head to head with Desenzano on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 32.
Ospitaletto take on Desenzano in the Italy Serie C on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Ospitaletto are currently placed 13th in the table with 18 points, while Desenzano occupy 38th position with 13 points.
Ospitaletto come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Desenzano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Ospitaletto have 1 win against Desenzano.
Prediction: Ospitaletto to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 51%.




Ospitaletto have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ospitaletto's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Ospitaletto have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.