The model estimates 2.10 goals for Ospitaletto and 1.29 for Carpi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ospitaletto and 6 for Carpi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ospitaletto · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ospitaletto is going head to head with Carpi on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 24.
Ospitaletto take on Carpi in the Italy Serie C on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ospitaletto are currently placed 13th in the table with 18 points, while Carpi occupy 42nd position with 12 points.
Ospitaletto come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carpi have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ospitaletto have yet to beat Carpi, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ospitaletto to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 65%.




Ospitaletto have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ospitaletto's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Ospitaletto have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Carpi's last 6 matches.
Carpi have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Carpi's last 6 matches.