The model estimates 0.71 goals for Novara and 1.57 for Union Brescia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Novara and 6 for Union Brescia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Union Brescia · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Novara is going head to head with Union Brescia on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 18.
Novara take on Union Brescia in the Italy Serie C on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Novara are currently placed 49th in the table with 10 points, while Union Brescia occupy 7th position with 22 points.
Novara come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Brescia have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Novara have 4 wins against Union Brescia, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Union Brescia to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 42%.
NOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINOVUNINovara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Union Brescia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Union Brescia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Union Brescia's last 6 matches.
