The model estimates 1.18 goals for Notts County and 1.40 for Reading. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Notts County and 6 for Reading, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Reading · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Notts County is going head to head with Reading on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League One — Round 42.
Notts County take on Reading in the League One on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Notts County are currently placed 19th in the table with 11 points, while Reading occupy 5th position with 21 points.
Notts County come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Reading have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Reading have 7 wins against Notts County, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Reading to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Notts County have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 matches.
Notts County score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Reading have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Reading's last 6 matches.
Reading score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.