The model estimates 1.47 goals for Notts County and 1.03 for MK Dons. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Notts County and 6 for MK Dons, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Notts County · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Notts County is going head to head with MK Dons on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League One — Round 45.
Notts County take on MK Dons in the League One on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Notts County are currently placed 19th in the table with 11 points, while MK Dons occupy 14th position with 15 points.
Notts County come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas MK Dons have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, MK Dons have 12 wins against Notts County, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Notts County to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Notts County have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 matches.
Notts County score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, MK Dons have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
MK Dons have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of MK Dons's last 6 matches.