The model estimates 0.94 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.72 for Brighton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nottingham Forest and 6 for Brighton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nottingham Forest is going head to head with Brighton on December 05, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 14.
Nottingham Forest take on Brighton in the Premier League on 5 December 2026 at 17:30.
Nottingham Forest are currently placed 18th in the table with 6 points, while Brighton occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Nottingham Forest come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brighton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Brighton have 14 wins against Nottingham Forest, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 51%.




Nottingham Forest have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 matches.
Nottingham Forest have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.