The model estimates 1.63 goals for Gillingham and 1.42 for Crewe Alexandra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gillingham and 6 for Crewe Alexandra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gillingham · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gillingham is going head to head with Crewe Alexandra on November 21, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of League Two — Round 16.
Gillingham take on Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on 21 November 2026 at 12:30.
Gillingham are currently placed 11th in the table with 17 points, while Crewe Alexandra occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Gillingham come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crewe Alexandra have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Crewe Alexandra have 16 wins against Gillingham, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Gillingham to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gillingham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Crewe Alexandra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.