The model estimates 1.90 goals for Fatima and 1.41 for Nogueirense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for Nogueirense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with Nogueirense on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 25.
Fatima take on Nogueirense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Nogueirense occupy 32nd position with 7 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nogueirense have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Fatima have 1 win against Nogueirense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Fatima to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.
FATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFATNOGFatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nogueirense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Nogueirense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nogueirense's last 6 matches.
